Caseloads exploding? Isolation/Quarantine not effective? What are you implying doc?
I am implying that you are about to witness the 2022 equivalent of a “chicken pox party.” Nearly 7,000 cases were identified in Suffolk County yesterday. That number could well hit 20,000 per day over the next couple of weeks.
Alas though, it is not about the number of cases. As I have been saying since early on, it is about our resources to manage the cases. Primary among them are hospitals. You cannot get into a general pediatric office to assess cold symptoms and determine whether they are caused by Covid? Nobody gets harmed in a medical sense. You cannot get seen in an ED for a legitimate illness due to capacity issues? There you have a real problem. And people do get hurt. Some pain is permanent.
Our hospital census is increasing at this time. Fairly quickly at that. But we still have capacity. We have managed twice the overall number of current hospitalizations during this pandemic already.
How does this story end? There are two major ways I see this ending as January winds down. First, this variant remains less severe than prior variants and we load up our hospitals to near capacity again while we finally achieve herd immunity. That, my friends, would be the end of the pandemic. Second, we overwhelm the hospitals, tons of folks start dying again, and we find ourselves in another lockdown. I am sure there is some gray area to be found, though I am not seeing it from my vantage point.